高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Interval prediction approach to crude oil price based on three-way clustering and decomposition ensemble learning

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi’an, 710071, China [2]State Key Laboratory of Dampness Syndrome of Chinese Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, 510120, PR China [3]School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049, China [4]Research Base of Beijing Modern Manufacturing Development, College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China [5]School of Traffic and Transportation, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou, 730070, China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: Ensemble empirical mode decomposition Probability rough set Phase space reconstruction Crude oil price forecasting

摘要:
Prediction methods have become a hot topic in intelligent decision making. Most of the existing prediction methods focus on the prediction accuracy and stability. As a second choice, accurate interval prediction can provide a relatively reliable reference in the sense of probability and provide help for assisting decision management. Therefore, we propose a novel interval prediction approach. Firstly, the decomposition method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) is utilized to alleviate the complexity of the original time series, thereby generating a series of relatively smooth subseries. Secondly, a three-way clustering (TWC) algorithm is established by integrating sample entropy into probabilistic rough set, enriching the three-way clustering theory from the perspective of entropy. Thirdly, aiming at determining the optimal input dimensions of different neural networks, the feature selection technique based on phase space reconstruction (PSR) is constructed. Furthermore, an interval prediction system based on TWC is proposed to provide a new data-driven prediction method. Finally, the proposed approach is applied to predict the interval price of crude oil. On the one hand, the practicability of the constructed prediction approach is verified; on the other hand, it provides a new theoretical method for interval prediction of crude oil price. The experiment results show the proposed prediction approach can assist the decision-makers to make scientific and reasonable decisions. (C) 2022 Published by Elsevier B.V.

基金:
语种:
WOS:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 2 区 计算机科学
小类 | 2 区 计算机:人工智能 2 区 计算机:跨学科应用
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 计算机科学
小类 | 2 区 计算机:人工智能 2 区 计算机:跨学科应用
JCR分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
最新[2023]版:
Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi’an, 710071, China
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:2018 今日访问量:0 总访问量:645 更新日期:2024-07-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 广东省中医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:广州市越秀区大德路111号