高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

An improved prognostic model for predicting the mortality of critically ill patients: a retrospective cohort study

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, GuiyangCity, Guizhou Province, China [2]Department of Endocrinology, Guiyang First People’s Hospital, Guiyang City,Guizhou Province, China [3]Department of Emergency, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University,Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China [4]Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, The Seventh AffiliatedHospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China [5]Department of Respiratory andCritical Care Medicine, The Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha City, Hunan Province,China
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
A simple prognostic model is needed for ICU patients. This study aimed to construct a modified prognostic model using easy-to-use indexes for prediction of the 28-day mortality of critically ill patients. Clinical information of ICU patients included in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database were collected. After identifying independent risk factors for 28-day mortality, an improved mortality prediction model (mionl-MEWS) was constructed with multivariate logistic regression. We evaluated the predictive performance of mionl-MEWS using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), internal validation and fivefold cross validation. A nomogram was used for rapid calculation of predicted risks. A total of 51,121 patients were included with 34,081 patients in the development cohort and 17,040 patients in the validation cohort (17,040 patients). Six predictors, including Modified Early Warning Score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lactate, international normalized ratio, osmolarity level and metastatic cancer were integrated to construct the mionl-MEWS model with AUROC of 0.717 and 0.908 for the development and validation cohorts respectively. The mionl-MEWS model showed good validation capacities with clinical utility. The developed mionl-MEWS model yielded good predictive value for prediction of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients for assisting decision-making in ICU patients.© 2022. The Author(s).

基金:
语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
JCR分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, GuiyangCity, Guizhou Province, China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:2018 今日访问量:0 总访问量:645 更新日期:2024-07-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 广东省中医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:广州市越秀区大德路111号