高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Can a Nomogram Predict Survival After Treatment for an Ankylosing Spondylitis Cervical Fracture in a Patient With Neurologic Impairment? A National, Multicenter Study

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Department of Orthopaedics, Xijing Hospital, The Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, PR China. [2]Department of Spine Surgery, the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, PR China. [3]Department of Spine Surgery, Zhengzhou Orthopaedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, PR China. [4]Department of Orthopedics, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, The Key Laboratory of Orthopedic Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, PR China. [5]Spine Center, Department of Orthopedics, Changzheng Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, PR China. [6]The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, PR China. [7]Department of Orthopaedics, the General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenyang, PR China. [8]Department of Orthopedic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Sichuan, PR China. [9]General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, PR China. [10]Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, PR China. [11]Department of Spine Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, PR China. [12]Department of Orthopaedics, The Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, PR China. [13]The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, PR China. [14]Department of Orthopedics, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, PR China. [15]Department of Spinal Surgery, Changhai Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, PR China. [16]Department of Orthopaedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, PR China. [17]The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR China. [18]The Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, PR China. [19]Department of Spine Surgery, The 940th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force of Chinese PLA, Lanzhou, PR China. [20]Department of Orthopaedics, Tangdu Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, PR China. [21]Guangdong Province Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, PR China. [22]Department of Orthopedics, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command of Chinese PLA, Guangzhou, PR China. [23]Shanghai Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Implants, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, PR China. [24]Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Fuyang People's Hospital, Fuyang Clinical College of Anhui Medical University, Fuyang, PR China. [25]Department of Orthopedics, PLA 960th Hospital, Jinan, PR China. [26]Department of Spine Surgery, Hefei Orthopaedics Hospital, Hefei, PR China. [27]Shaoyang Zhenggu Hospital, Shaoyang, PR China. [28]Hebei Aidebao Hospital, Zhengzhou, Langfang, PR China. [29]Department of Cardiology, Xijing Hospital, The Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, PR China. [30]Department of Spine Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, PR China.
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
Ankylosing spondylitis-related cervical spine fracture with neurologic impairment (ASCF-NI) is a rare but often lethal injury. Factors independently associated with survival after treatment remain poorly defined, and identifying patients who are likely to survive the injury remains challenging.(1) What factors are independently associated with survival after treatment among patients with ASCF-NI? (2) Can a nomogram be developed that is sufficiently simple for clinicians to use that can identify patients who are the most likely to survive after injury?This retrospective study was conducted based on a multi-institutional group of patients admitted and treated at one of 29 tertiary hospitals in China between March 1, 2003, and July 31, 2019. A total of 363 patients with a mean age of 53 ± 12 years were eventually included, 343 of whom were male. According to the National Household Registration Management System, 17% (61 of 363) died within 5 years of injury. Patients were treated using nonsurgical treatment or surgery, including procedures using the anterior approach, posterior approach, or combined anterior and posterior approaches. Indications for surgery included three-column injury, unstable fracture displacement, neurologic impairment or continuous progress, and intervertebral disc incarceration. By contrast, patients generally received nonsurgical treatment when they had a relatively stable fracture or medical conditions that did not tolerate surgery. Demographic, clinical, and treatment data were collected. The primary study goal was to identify which factors are independently associated with death within 5 years of injury, and the secondary goal was the development of a clinically applicable nomogram. We developed a multivariable Cox hazards regression model, and independent risk factors were defined by backward stepwise selection with the Akaike information criterion. We used these factors to create a nomogram using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.After controlling for potentially confounding variables, we found the following factors were independently associated with a lower likelihood of survival after injury: lower fracture site, more-severe peri-injury complications, poorer American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) Impairment Scale, and treatment methods. We found that a C5 to C7 or T1 fracture (ref: C1 to C4 and 5; hazard ratio 1.7 [95% confidence interval 0.9 to 3.5]; p = 0.12), moderate peri-injury complications (ref: absence of or mild complications; HR 6.0 [95% CI 2.3 to 16.0]; p < 0.001), severe peri-injury complications (ref: absence of or mild complications; HR 30.0 [95% CI 11.5 to 78.3]; p < 0.001), ASIA Grade A (ref: ASIA Grade D; HR 2.8 [95% CI 1.1 to 7.0]; p = 0.03), anterior approach (ref: nonsurgical treatment; HR 0.5 [95% CI 0.2 to 1.0]; p = 0.04), posterior approach (ref: nonsurgical treatment; HR 0.4 [95% CI 0.2 to 0.8]; p = 0.006), and combined anterior and posterior approach (ref: nonsurgical treatment; HR 0.4 [95% CI 0.2 to 0.9]; p = 0.02) were associated with survival. Based on these factors, a nomogram was developed to predict the survival of patients with ASCF-NI after treatment. Tests revealed that the developed nomogram had good performance (C statistic of 0.91).The nomogram developed in this study will allow us to classify patients with different mortality risk levels into groups. This, coupled with the factors we identified, was independently associated with survival, and can be used to guide more appropriate treatment and care strategies for patients with ASCF-NI.Level III, therapeutic study.Copyright © 2023 by the Association of Bone and Joint Surgeons.

语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 外科 2 区 骨科
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 骨科 2 区 外科
JCR分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
Q1 ORTHOPEDICS Q1 SURGERY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 ORTHOPEDICS Q1 SURGERY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2021版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2020版] 出版后一年[2022版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Orthopaedics, Xijing Hospital, The Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, PR China.
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of Orthopaedics, Xijing Hospital, The Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, PR China. [*1]Department of Orthopaedics, Xijing Hospital, The Air Force Medical University, number 17 Changle Xi Road, Xi’an, Shaanxi Province, 710032, PR China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:2018 今日访问量:0 总访问量:645 更新日期:2024-07-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 广东省中医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:广州市越秀区大德路111号