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Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Base-of-Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study Based on the SEER Database

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机构: [1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China. [2]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China. [3]Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, China.
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关键词: base of tongue squamous cell carcinoma nomogram Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results cancer-specific survival

摘要:
The aim of this retrospective study was to construct and clinically apply a nomogram for cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients diagnosed with base-of-tongue squamous cell carcinoma (BOTSCC) to predict their survival prognosis.We collected 8448 patients diagnosed with BOTSCC during 2004-2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and divided 30% and 70% of them into validation and training cohorts, respectively. We utilized backward stepwise regression in the Cox model to select variables. Predictive variables were subsequently identified from the variables selected above by using multivariate Cox regression. The new survival model was compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) prognosis model using the following variables: calibration curve, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), concordance index (C-index), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), decision-curve analysis (DCA), and net reclassification improvement (NRI).A nomogram was established for predicting the CSS probability in patients with BOTSCC. Factors including sex, race, age at diagnosis, marital status, radiotherapy status, chemotherapy status, TNM AJCC stage, surgery status, tumor size, and months from diagnosis to treatment were selected through multivariate Cox regression as independent predictors of CSS. Calibration plots indicated that the model we established had satisfactory calibration ability. The AUC, C-index, IDI, DCA, and NRI results illustrated that the nomogram performed explicit prognoses more accurately than did the AJCC system alone.We identified the relevant factors affecting the survival of BOTSCC patients and analyzed the data on patients suffering from BOTSCC in the SEER database. These factors were used to construct a new nomogram to give clinical staff a more-visual prediction model for the 3-, 5-, and 8-year probabilities of CSS for patients newly diagnosed with BOTSCC, thereby aiding clinical decision making.

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
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通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China. [2]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China. [3]Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, China. [*1]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, 613 W. Huangpu Avenue, Guangzhou 510630, China. [*2]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, 87 Yingbin Road, Guangzhou 510801, China
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