Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Base-of-Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study Based on the SEER Database
机构:[1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China.[2]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.[3]Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, China.
The aim of this retrospective study was to construct and clinically apply a nomogram for cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients diagnosed with base-of-tongue squamous cell carcinoma (BOTSCC) to predict their survival prognosis.We collected 8448 patients diagnosed with BOTSCC during 2004-2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and divided 30% and 70% of them into validation and training cohorts, respectively. We utilized backward stepwise regression in the Cox model to select variables. Predictive variables were subsequently identified from the variables selected above by using multivariate Cox regression. The new survival model was compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) prognosis model using the following variables: calibration curve, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), concordance index (C-index), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), decision-curve analysis (DCA), and net reclassification improvement (NRI).A nomogram was established for predicting the CSS probability in patients with BOTSCC. Factors including sex, race, age at diagnosis, marital status, radiotherapy status, chemotherapy status, TNM AJCC stage, surgery status, tumor size, and months from diagnosis to treatment were selected through multivariate Cox regression as independent predictors of CSS. Calibration plots indicated that the model we established had satisfactory calibration ability. The AUC, C-index, IDI, DCA, and NRI results illustrated that the nomogram performed explicit prognoses more accurately than did the AJCC system alone.We identified the relevant factors affecting the survival of BOTSCC patients and analyzed the data on patients suffering from BOTSCC in the SEER database. These factors were used to construct a new nomogram to give clinical staff a more-visual prediction model for the 3-, 5-, and 8-year probabilities of CSS for patients newly diagnosed with BOTSCC, thereby aiding clinical decision making.
基金:
The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for
the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This work
was supported by the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of
Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization (2021B1212040007).
语种:
外文
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2022]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区肿瘤学
第一作者:
第一作者机构:[1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, Guangzhou, China.[2]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.[3]Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, China.[*1]Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, 613 W. Huangpu Avenue, Guangzhou 510630, China.[*2]Department of Stomatology, Guangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional and West Medicine, 87 Yingbin Road, Guangzhou 510801, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Lin Zi-Jun,Huang Liying,Lin Ying-Mei,et al.Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Base-of-Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study Based on the SEER Database[J].Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center.2023,30:10732748231210733.doi:10.1177/10732748231210733.
APA:
Lin Zi-Jun,Huang Liying,Lin Ying-Mei,Luo Renhui,Wang Shen-Chih...&Shao Jun.(2023).Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Base-of-Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study Based on the SEER Database.Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center,30,
MLA:
Lin Zi-Jun,et al."Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Base-of-Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study Based on the SEER Database".Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center 30.(2023):10732748231210733