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Prognostic model for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy

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机构: [1]Department of Minimally Invasive Intervention, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China [2]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Major Obstetric Discases/ Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for 0bstetricsc and Gynecology/The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China [3]Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital(Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China [4]Department of Interventional Radiology, Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Shenzhen, China [5]Department of Radiology, Guangzhou Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China [6]Department of Oncology and Peripheral Interventional Radiology, People’s Hospital of Huazhou, Maoming, China [7]Department of Internal Medicine-Oncology, Dongguan Songshan Lake Central Hospital, Dongguan, China
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关键词: Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Immunotherapy Liver Neoplasms

摘要:
Background and aims Dual programmed death 1 (PD-1) and angiogenesis blockade therapy is a frontline treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). An accepted model for survival prediction and risk stratification in individual patients receiving this treatment is lacking. Aimed to develop a simple prognostic model specific to these patients. Approach and results Patients with unresectable HCC undergoing dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy were included in training cohort (n=168) and validation cohort (n=72). We investigated the prognostic value of clinical variables on overall survival using a Cox model in the training set. A prognostic score model was then developed and validated. Predictive performance and discrimination were also evaluated. Largest tumor size and Alpha-fetoprotein concentration at baseline and Neutrophil count and Spleen volume change after 6 weeks of treatment were identi?ed as independent predictors of overall survival in multivariable analysis and used to develop LANS score. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, calibration curves, and C-index showed LANS score had favorable performance in survival prediction. Patients were divided into three risk categories based on LANS score. Median survival for patients with low, intermediate, and high LANS scores was 31.7, 23.5, and 11.5 months, respectively (p<0.0001). The disease control rates were 96.4%, 64.3%, and 32.1%, respectively (p<0.0001). The predictive performance and risk stratification ability of the LANS score were confirmed in validation and entire cohorts. Conclusion The LANS score model can provide individualized survival prediction and risk stratification in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 免疫学 2 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 免疫学 2 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2022]版:
Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Q1 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Q1 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Minimally Invasive Intervention, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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