机构:[1]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial KeyLaboratory of Coronary Heart Disease Prevention,Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong ProvincialPeople’s Hospital, South China University of Technology,Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou,Guangdong, China广东省人民医院[2]The George Institute for Global Health, The Universityof New South Wales, Sydney, Australia[3]Department of Cardiology&Dongguan Divisionof Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Coronary HeartDisease Prevention, Dongguan TCM Hospital, Dongguan,China[4]Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham,NC, USA[5]University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA[6]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial KeyLaboratory of Coronary Heart Disease Prevention,Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong ProvincialPeople’s Hospital, South China University of Technology,Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Schoolof Medicine, South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510100, China广东省人民医院
The majority of prediction models for contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) have moderate performance. Therefore, we aimed to develop a better pre-procedural prediction tool for CIN following contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary angiography (CAG). A total of 3469 patients undergoing PCI/CAG between January 2010 and December 2013 were randomly divided into a training (n = 2428, 70%) and validation data-sets (n = 1041, 30%). Random forest full models were developed using 40 pre-procedural variables, of which 13 variables were selected for a reduced CIN model. CIN developed in 78 (3.21%) and 37 of patients (3.54%) in the training and validation datasets, respectively. In the validation dataset, the full and reduced models demonstrated improved discrimination over classic Mehran, ACEF CIN risk scores (AUC 0.842 and 0.825 over 0.762 and 0.701, respectively, all P < 0.05) and common estimated glomerular filtration rate. Compared to that for the Mehran risk score model, the full and reduced models had significantly improved fit based on the net reclassification improvement (all P < 0.001) and integrated discrimination improvement (P = 0.001, 0.028, respectively). Using the above models, 2462 (66.7%), 661, and 346 patients were categorized into low (< 1%), moderate (1% to 7%), and high (> 7%) risk groups, respectively. Our pre-procedural CIN risk prediction algorithm (http://cincalc.com) demonstrated good discriminative ability and was well calibrated when validated. Two-thirds of the patients were at low CIN risk, probably needing less peri-procedural preventive strategy; however, the discriminative ability of CIN risk requires further external validation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01400295.
基金:
The Guangdong Provincial Cardiovascular
Clinical Medicine Research Fund (Grant Number, 2009X41),
Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province
(Grant Number, 2014B070706010), and Cardiovascular Research
Foundation Project of the Chinese Medical Doctor Association (SCRFCMDA201216).
语种:
外文
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2019]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区心脏和心血管系统4 区核医学
最新[2025]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区心脏和心血管系统4 区核医学
JCR分区:
出版当年[2018]版:
Q3RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGINGQ3CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS
最新[2023]版:
Q3CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMSQ3RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING
第一作者机构:[1]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial KeyLaboratory of Coronary Heart Disease Prevention,Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong ProvincialPeople’s Hospital, South China University of Technology,Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou,Guangdong, China[2]The George Institute for Global Health, The Universityof New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial KeyLaboratory of Coronary Heart Disease Prevention,Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong ProvincialPeople’s Hospital, South China University of Technology,Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou,Guangdong, China[6]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial KeyLaboratory of Coronary Heart Disease Prevention,Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong ProvincialPeople’s Hospital, South China University of Technology,Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Schoolof Medicine, South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510100, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Liu Yong,Chen Shiqun,Ye Jianfeng,et al.Random forest for prediction of contrast-induced nephropathy following coronary angiography.[J].INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING.2020,36(6):983-991.doi:10.1007/s10554-019-01730-6.
APA:
Liu Yong,Chen Shiqun,Ye Jianfeng,Xian Ying,Wang Xia...&Ni Zhonghan.(2020).Random forest for prediction of contrast-induced nephropathy following coronary angiography..INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING,36,(6)
MLA:
Liu Yong,et al."Random forest for prediction of contrast-induced nephropathy following coronary angiography.".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING 36..6(2020):983-991