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Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis

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机构: [1]Guangzhou Univ Chinese Med, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Gynecol & Obstet, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [2]Guangzhou Univ Chinese Med, Acupuncture Moxibust & Rehabil Sch Clin Med, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [3]Guangzhou Univ Chinese Med, Sch Clin Med 2, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [4]Guangzhou Univ Chinese Med, Sch Clin Med 1, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
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关键词: premature rupture of membrane nomogram predictor vulvovaginal candidiasis pregnant women

摘要:
Objective: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of premature rupture of membrane (PROM) in pregnant women with vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC).Patients and methods: We developed a prediction model based on a training dataset of 417 gravidas with VVC, the data were collected from January 2013 to December 2020. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection for the model. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build a prediction model incorporating the feature selected in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the prediction model were assessed using the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. Internal validation was assessed using bootstrapping validation.Results: Predictors contained in the prediction nomogram included age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis. The model displayed discrimination with a C-index of 0.684 (95% confidence interval: 0.631-0.737). Decision curve analysis showed that the PROM nomogram was clinically useful when intervention was decided at a PROM possibility threshold of 13%.Conclusion: This novel PROM nomogram incorporating age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis could be conveniently used to facilitate PROM risk prediction in gravidas.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Guangzhou Univ Chinese Med, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Gynecol & Obstet, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
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