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A Machine Learning Model Based on Genetic and Traditional Cardiovascular Risk Factors to Predict Premature Coronary Artery Disease

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机构: [1]Guangzhou Institute of Cardiovascular Disease, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Vascular Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, 510260 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. [2]Department of Laboratory Medicine, Panyu Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, 511400 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. [3]Department of Emergency, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, 510260 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. [4]General Practice, Guangzhou Medical University, 510182 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
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关键词: premature coronary artery disease; machine learning; single nucleotide polymorphisms; traditional cardiovascular risk factors;nomogram; rs10757274

摘要:
Premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) has a poor prognosis and a high mortality and disability rate. Accurate prediction of the risk of PCAD is very important for the prevention and early diagnosis of this disease. Machine learning (ML) has been proven a reliable method used for disease diagnosis and for building risk prediction models based on complex factors. The aim of the present study was to develop an accurate prediction model of PCAD risk that allows early intervention.We performed retrospective analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and traditional cardiovascular risk factors (TCRFs) for 131 PCAD patients and 187 controls. The data was used to construct classifiers for the prediction of PCAD risk with the machine learning (ML) algorithms LogisticRegression (LRC), RandomForestClassifier (RFC) and GradientBoostingClassifier (GBC) in scikit-learn. Three quarters of the participants were randomly grouped into a training dataset and the rest into a test dataset. The performance of classifiers was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity and concordance index. R packages were used to construct nomograms.Three optimized feature combinations (FCs) were identified: RS-DT-FC1 (rs2259816, rs1378577, rs10757274, rs4961, smoking, hyperlipidemia, glucose, triglycerides), RS-DT-FC2 (rs1378577, rs10757274, smoking, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, glucose, triglycerides) and RS-DT-FC3 (rs1169313, rs5082, rs9340799, rs10757274, rs1152002, smoking, hyperlipidemia, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol). These were able to build the classifiers with an AUC >0.90 and sensitivity >0.90. The nomograms built with RS-DT-FC1, RS-DT-FC2 and RS-DT-FC3 had a concordance index of 0.94, 0.94 and 0.90, respectively, when validated with the test dataset, and 0.79, 0.82 and 0.79 when validated with the training dataset. Manual prediction of the test data with the three nomograms resulted in an AUC of 0.89, 0.92 and 0.83, respectively, and a sensitivity of 0.92, 0.96 and 0.86, respectively.The selection of suitable features determines the performance of ML models. RS-DT-FC2 may be a suitable FC for building a high-performance prediction model of PCAD with good sensitivity and accuracy. The nomograms allow practical scoring and interpretation of each predictor and may be useful for clinicians in determining the risk of PCAD.© 2022 The Author(s). Published by IMR Press.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 生物学
小类 | 3 区 生化与分子生物学 4 区 细胞生物学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 生物学
小类 | 4 区 生化与分子生物学 4 区 细胞生物学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Q3 CELL BIOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Q3 CELL BIOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Guangzhou Institute of Cardiovascular Disease, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Vascular Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, 510260 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Guangzhou Institute of Cardiovascular Disease, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Vascular Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, 510260 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. [3]Department of Emergency, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, 510260 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. [4]General Practice, Guangzhou Medical University, 510182 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
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