BackgroundLysosomes are instrumental in intracellular degradation and recycling, with their functional alterations holding significance in tumor growth. Nevertheless, the precise role of lysosome-related genes (LRGs) in breast cancer (BC) remains elucidated. This study aimed to establish a prognostic model for BC based on LRGs.MethodsEmploying The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) BC cohort as a training dataset, this study identified differentially expressed lysosome-related genes (DLRGs) through intersecting LRGs with differential expression genes (DEGs) between tumor and normal samples. A prognostic model of BC was subsequently developed using Cox regression analysis and validated within two Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) external validation sets. Further analyses explored functional pathways, the immune microenvironment, immunotherapeutic responses, and sensitivity to chemotherapeutic drugs in different risk groups. Additionally, the mRNA and protein expression levels of genes within the risk model were examined by utilizing the Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis (GEPIA) and Human Protein Atlas (HPA) databases. Clinical tissue specimens obtained from patients were gathered to validate the expression of the model genes via Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR).ResultsWe developed a risk model of BC based on five specific genes (ATP6AP1, SLC7A5, EPDR1, SDC1, and PIGR). The model was validated for overall survival (OS) in two GEO validation sets (p=0.00034 for GSE20685 and p=0.0095 for GSE58812). In addition, the nomogram incorporating clinical factors showed better predictive performance. Compared to the low-risk group, the high-risk group had a higher level of certain immune cell infiltration, including regulatory T cells (Tregs) and type 2 T helper cells (Th2). The high-risk patients appeared to respond less well to general immunotherapy and chemotherapeutic drugs, according to the Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE), Immunophenotype Score (IPS), and drug sensitivity scores. The RT-PCR results validated the expression trends of some prognostic-related genes in agreement with the previous differential expression analysis.ConclusionOur innovative lysosome-associated signature can predict the prognosis for BC patients, offering insights for guiding subsequent immunotherapeutic and chemotherapeutic interventions. Furthermore, it has the potential to provide a scientific foundation for identifying prospective therapeutic targets.