机构:[1]Regional Climate Center of South China, Guangzhou 510080, China [2]Center of Integrated Geographic Information Analysis, School of Geography and Planning/Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urbanization and Geo-Simulation, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China [3]Third Outpatient Department, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou 510120, China 广东省中医院[4]Guangdong Institute of Public Health, Guangzhou 510300, China
This study reviews the impacts of climate change on human health and presents corresponding adaptation strategies in South China. The daily mean surface air temperatures above or below 26.4?C increase the death risk for the people in Guangzhou, especially the elderly are vulnerable to variations in temperature. Heat waves can cause insomnia, fatigue, clinical exacerbation, or death from heatstroke etc., while cold spells show increases in patients with fractures. During a cold spell period, the rates of both on-site emergency rescues and non-implementable rescues increase, and the risk of non-accidental deaths and respiratory disease deaths significantly rise as well. Both time series of hazy days and ozone concentrations have significant positive correlations with the number of patients with cardiovascular diseases. Both malaria and dengue fever reach higher altitudes and mountainous areas due to climate warming. Climate change is likely to bring stronger heat waves in the future, thereby increasing heat wave-related illnesses and deaths, particularly in the metropolitan areas of the Pearl River Delta. The projected increase of continuous cold days in Guangdong province and parts of northern Guangxi province will affect residents’ health in the future. The rising temperature exaggerates ozone pollution, but it is not clear whether climate change is aggravating or mitigating haze pollution. The transmission potential of malaria in South China will increase by 39%-140% and the transmission season will extend by 1-2 months with an air temperature increase of 1-2?C. By 2050, most areas in Hainan province are projected to convert from non-endemic dengue into endemic dengue areas. The aging population will cause more vulnerable people. To mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on human health, sound and scientific adaptation strategies must be adopted in advance, such as strengthening the surveillance of epidemic diseases in potential transmission areas, conducting timely weather forecasting for human health, evaluating health vulnerability to climate change, improving environmental and health education, and strengthening hazard management and the cooperation between meteorological and health departments.
基金:
This study was supported by the Special Climate Change Research Program of China Meteorological Ad- ministration(CCSF-09-11 and CCSF201307)%by the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guang- dong province (No.2011A030200021). Cordial thanks are extended to the editors and the anonymous reviewers for their professional comments and suggestions, which greatly improved the quality of this manuscript
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大类|1 区地球科学
小类|1 区环境科学1 区气象与大气科学
第一作者:
第一作者机构:[1]Regional Climate Center of South China, Guangzhou 510080, China
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推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
DU Yao-Dong,WANG Xian-Wei,YANG Xiao-Feng,et al.Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health and Adaptation Strategies in South China[J].Advances in Climate Change Research.2013,(4):208-214.doi:10.3724/SP.J.1248.2013.208.
APA:
DU Yao-Dong,WANG Xian-Wei,YANG Xiao-Feng,MA Wen-Jun,AI Hui&WU Xiao-Xuan.(2013).Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health and Adaptation Strategies in South China.Advances in Climate Change Research,,(4)
MLA:
DU Yao-Dong,et al."Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health and Adaptation Strategies in South China".Advances in Climate Change Research ..4(2013):208-214