机构:[1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,[2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,[3]Department of Hepatology, Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Shenzhen, China,深圳市康宁医院深圳医学信息中心[4]Department of Hepatology, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China,大德路总院外科大德路总院外一科广东省中医院[5]Department of Hepatopathy, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China,[6]Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Fengtai Hospital of Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine, Beijing, China,[7]Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Dongfang Hospital Affiliated to Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
Background and Aims: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels are at risk of disease progression. Currently, liver biopsy is suggested to identify this population. We aimed to establish a non-invasive diagnostic model to identify patients with significant liver inflammation. Method: A total of 504 CHB patients who had undergone liver biopsy with normal ALT levels were randomized into a training set (n = 310) and a validation set (n = 194). Independent variables were analyzed by stepwise logistic regression analysis. After the predictive model for diagnosing significant inflammation (Scheuer's system, G >= 2) was established, a nomogram was generated. Discrimination and calibration aspects of the model were measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and assessment of a calibration curve. Clinical significance was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA). Result: The model was composed of 4 variables: aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) levels, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels, and platelet (PLT) counts. Good discrimination and calibration of the model were observed in the training and validation sets (AUC = 0.87 and 0.86, respectively). The best cutoff point for the model was 0.12, where the specificity was 83.43%, the sensitivity was 77.42%, and the positive likelihood and negative likelihood ratios were 4.67 and 0.27, respectively. The model's predictive capability was superior to that of each single indicator. Conclusion: This study provides a non-invasive approach for predicting significant liver inflammation in CHB patients with normal ALT. Nomograms may help to identify target patients to allow timely initiation of antiviral treatment.
基金:
This work was supported by grants from the Chinese National
Science and Technology Major Project (No. 2018ZX10725505),
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.
81804033), and the Beijing University of Chinese Medicine
Collaboration Project (No. 2019-JYB-TD-009).
第一作者机构:[1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,[2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,[2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Xiaoke Li,Yufeng Xing,Daqiao Zhou,et al.A Non-invasive Model for Predicting Liver Inflammation in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Levels[J].FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE.2021,8:doi:10.3389/fmed.2021.688091.
APA:
Xiaoke Li,Yufeng Xing,Daqiao Zhou,Huanming Xiao,Zhenhua Zhou...&Yong’an Ye.(2021).A Non-invasive Model for Predicting Liver Inflammation in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Levels.FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE,8,
MLA:
Xiaoke Li,et al."A Non-invasive Model for Predicting Liver Inflammation in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Levels".FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE 8.(2021)