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A Non-invasive Model for Predicting Liver Inflammation in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Levels

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机构: [1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China, [2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China, [3]Department of Hepatology, Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Shenzhen, China, [4]Department of Hepatology, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China, [5]Department of Hepatopathy, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China, [6]Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Fengtai Hospital of Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine, Beijing, China, [7]Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Dongfang Hospital Affiliated to Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
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关键词: non-invasive predictive model chronic hepatitis B inflammation alanine aminotransferase

摘要:
Background and Aims: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels are at risk of disease progression. Currently, liver biopsy is suggested to identify this population. We aimed to establish a non-invasive diagnostic model to identify patients with significant liver inflammation. Method: A total of 504 CHB patients who had undergone liver biopsy with normal ALT levels were randomized into a training set (n = 310) and a validation set (n = 194). Independent variables were analyzed by stepwise logistic regression analysis. After the predictive model for diagnosing significant inflammation (Scheuer's system, G >= 2) was established, a nomogram was generated. Discrimination and calibration aspects of the model were measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and assessment of a calibration curve. Clinical significance was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA). Result: The model was composed of 4 variables: aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) levels, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels, and platelet (PLT) counts. Good discrimination and calibration of the model were observed in the training and validation sets (AUC = 0.87 and 0.86, respectively). The best cutoff point for the model was 0.12, where the specificity was 83.43%, the sensitivity was 77.42%, and the positive likelihood and negative likelihood ratios were 4.67 and 0.27, respectively. The model's predictive capability was superior to that of each single indicator. Conclusion: This study provides a non-invasive approach for predicting significant liver inflammation in CHB patients with normal ALT. Nomograms may help to identify target patients to allow timely initiation of antiviral treatment.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China, [2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Gastroenterology, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China, [2]Institute of Liver Diseases, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China,
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