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Machine Learning Predict Survivals of Spinal and Pelvic Ewing's Sarcoma with the SEER Database

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机构: [1]National Key Clinical Pain Medicine of China, 194030Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, China. [2]Guangdong Key Laboratory for Biomedical Measurements and Ultrasound Imaging, School of Biomedical Engineering, Shenzhen University Health Science Center, China. [3]Department of Pain Medicine and Shenzhen Municipal Key Laboratory for Pain Medicine, The 6th Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, China. [4]Department of Spine Surgery, Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. [5]Department of Orthopedics, Shanghai Tenth Peoples Hospital, 481875Tongji University School of Medicine, China. [6]Artificial Intelligence Innovation Center, Research Institute of Tsinghua, Pearl River Delta, China. [7]Department of Orthopedics, Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, China. [8]Department of Sports Medicine, 575842The Eighth Affiliated Hospital Sun Yat-sen University, China.
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关键词: Deep learning Ewing’s sarcoma Spinal cancer Machine learning Survival prediction

摘要:
Retrospective Cohort Study.This study aimed to develop survival prediction models for spinal Ewing's sarcoma (EWS) based on machine learning (ML).We extracted the SEER registry's clinical data of EWS diagnosed between 1975 and 2016. Three feature selection methods extracted clinical features. Four ML algorithms (Cox, random survival forest (RSF), CoxBoost, DeepCox) were trained to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of spinal EWS. The concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS) and mean area under the curves (AUC) were used to assess the prediction performance of different ML models. The top initial ML models with best performance from each evaluation index (C-index, IBS and mean AUC) were finally stacked to ensemble models which were compared with the traditional TNM stage model by 3-/5-/10-year Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA).A total of 741 patients with spinal EWS were identified. C-index, IBS and mean AUC for the final ensemble ML model in predicting OS were .693/0.158/0.829 during independent testing, while .719/0.171/0.819 in predicting CSS. The ensemble ML model also achieved an AUC of .705/0.747/0.851 for predicting 3-/5-/10-year OS during independent testing, while .734/0.779/0.830 for predicting 3-/5-/10-year CSS, both of which outperformed the traditional TNM stage. DCA curves also showed the advantages of the ensemble models over the traditional TNM stage.ML was an effective and promising technique in predicting survival of spinal EWS, and the ensemble models were superior to the traditional TNM stage model.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 骨科
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 骨科
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Q3 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 ORTHOPEDICS Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者机构: [1]National Key Clinical Pain Medicine of China, 194030Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, China. [2]Guangdong Key Laboratory for Biomedical Measurements and Ultrasound Imaging, School of Biomedical Engineering, Shenzhen University Health Science Center, China. [3]Department of Pain Medicine and Shenzhen Municipal Key Laboratory for Pain Medicine, The 6th Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, China. [4]Department of Spine Surgery, Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
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通讯机构: [1]National Key Clinical Pain Medicine of China, 194030Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, China. [3]Department of Pain Medicine and Shenzhen Municipal Key Laboratory for Pain Medicine, The 6th Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, China. [6]Artificial Intelligence Innovation Center, Research Institute of Tsinghua, Pearl River Delta, China. [*1]Artificial Intelligence Innovation Center, Research Institute of Tsinghua, Pearl River Delta, Guangzhou, China [*2]Department of Pain Medicine, Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China.
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